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Nor can any silver lining be detected in the larger political military picture, in terms of erosion the Shia majority coalition, seriously reducing the power of Moqtada al-Sadr, or denting the Sunni resistance.

But on the home front, Levin, Clinton and other leading Democrats are determined not to be wrong-footed by White House attacks accusing them of stabbing America's fighting men and women in the back by questioning the surge's supposed success. Flag-wagging and drum-thumping is traditional at Veterans of Foreign Wars' conventions.

In a rhetorical counter-move, the Democrats' emphasis on the failure of Bush's man, al-Maliki, to resolve Iraq's political divisions at equal speed. Amid their rather hollow assertions of confidence in al-Maliki, Bush and the Republicans recognise that al-Maliki is expendable and can be forced out, just as his predecessor was ditched.

Here's where al-Maliki should take a look at a dark episode in Vietnam not long before President John F. Kennedy was assassinated in November 1963. A few weeks earlier in

 

Nouri al-Maliki has received the dreaded vote of confidence from George W Bush

that same month a coup, code-named Operation Bravo Two, pushed by US Ambassador Henry Cabot Lodge and the CIA, and executed by South Vietnamese officers led swiftly to the murder of South Vietnam's president, Ngo Dinh Diem, and Diem's brother.

Just as is happening today in Iraq, the White House had concluded that their chosen man Diem had become an inconvenience to a political schedule that demanded 'progress', a feinted reduction in US troops pending the 1964 campaign year. Hence the coup and consequent demise of the bothersome Diem and his brother. Friendly witnesses claim that the Kennedys were deeply shocked at news of the murders. If so, it was akin to the shock of Henry II after the murder of Thomas Becket. The killing of Diem committed the US more deeply than ever to blood-stained years of 'nation-building' .

In the end the Americans withdrew because they were defeated militarily and politically by the Vietnamese.

Such is the history al-Maliki can meditate each day.

FIRST POSTED AUGUST 27, 2007

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