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Thursday May 8, 2008

No right turn

Did the political landscape really change last week, asks Seumas Milne? Immigration aside, there's little sign of any underlying shift to the right. On the contrary, when it comes to issues such as inequality, taxes on the rich, privatisation, rights at work and foreign wars, public opinion is clearly to the left of both major parties. There is no sense that we are on the threshold of a new Conservative era, as in 1979. At a time when public regulation and ownership are coming back into fashion on the back of the credit crunch, that would run against the social grain. Of course, that doesn't mean the Tories can't capitalise on hostility to New Labour to return to power. But it does help lay the basis for a new, progressive coalition, inside and outside Labour. Seumas Milne The Guardian
Phillip Blond: Cameron must reject policies of Thatcher and Blair More

Filed under: Seumas Milne, Labour

Obama stumbles

While the Clintons' failure to change the course of the nominating process is the main message of these primaries, it is important to remember that Obama has failed too, says James Forsyth. His campaign predicted it would win Indiana and lost - the first time that this has happened. And Obama's failure to seal the deal is personal. A vote for president, the head of state, is no longer about party politics; everything from the candidate's family to his manner of speaking is taken into account. After all, the American people are inviting this person into their living-room for the next four years. At first this worked in Obama's favour; few wanted the Clintons back in their living- rooms. But as his string of victories made him the focus of attention people became less sure.
James Forsyth The Spectator
US election: latest news, analysis and gossip More

Growing up well

Results from the quantitative research recently done by the lobby group Survey of War Affected Youth (SWAY) are disconcerting, says the New Scientist - especially the claim that child soldiers have acquired some positive motivations and skills. Far from plaguing their countries, it seems that they may be more politically engaged and economically productive than their peers who were not forced to fight. But we should not reject findings just because they make us uncomfortable. The strongest message from projects like SWAY is that aid in a conflict zone should be directed to the community as a whole, rather than to returning soldiers - which can create resentment. Assistance should focus on those with the greatest need, whether or not they were former combatants. Leader New Scientist
Boy soldier under fire More

Filed under: Children, child soldiers

Hillary’s pride

If you've found the election hard to follow of late, writes Anne Applebaum, that's because the only real issue at stake is Hillary Clinton's extraordinary, irrational, overwhelming ambition. Clearly, she wants so badly to win that she will try anything - and we know that "anything" includes adopting positions and methods of a kind she once claimed to abhor. She is not above smear tactics, she is not above hints, verging on racist, that a black man can't win the general election. She is not above exaggerating her achievements, claiming to have helped "bring peace" to Northern Ireland and to have dodged sniper fire in Bosnia. It would take a psychologist, not a political analyst, to explain why she does this. To prove some feminist point? To show that she's the equal of Bill? To take revenge for Monica? If John McCain beats Obama in November, it is not the Republican Party but Hillary Clinton who will be blamed.  Anne Applebaum The Times
Alexander Cockburn: It's all but over for Hillary More

Shattering a contract

New Labour was born with a simple phrase, claims James Purnell: let's mean what we say and say what we mean. The Tories have learned exactly the opposite lesson. They have learned that they can't get elected by saying what they believe. So they say what we say, usually three years after we've said it, but hope that no one realises they don't mean it. They tell each audience what it wants to hear, no matter how contradictory. In David Cameron, we see the convergence of the worst trends in modern politics and the worst traits of traditional conservatism - an empty space filled for the moment with rhetoric. But if words ever have to be turned into deeds, then the conservatism will reassert itself. It is bound to, as his answers to straight questions make abundantly clear.
James Purnell New Statesman

A common problem

Clinton and Brown have both suffered from the same thing, says Anatole Kaletsky: Iraq. This is the elephant in the room that has been inexplicably ignored in much of the commentary on where Clinton and Brown went wrong. If Mrs Clinton had not backed President Bush at the start of the Iraq war and for most of the period since, the challenge to her candidacy would never have got off the ground and Barack Obama would still be an obscure local politician from Illinois. If Mr Brown had broken decisively with the Blair-Bush foreign policy that he inherited, as many of his supporters (including me) hoped, then the disillusionment with his leadership, among both traditional Labour activists and the champagne-socialist intelligentsia, might never have set in.  Anatole Kaletsky The Times
The Mole: Will Gordon go for the good of the party? More

Anatole Kaletsky

Scottish dancing

Referendums hardly ever happen, but the prospect of them causes mayhem, says Steve Richards. Ms Alexander's move has alarmed ministers. She sought to expose the manoeuvrings of the SNP, but in an attempt to be wilier than Mr Salmond she landed in an awkward place. Bring on a referendum, she cries at a time when Labour loses elections on the same scale as it did in the early 1980s. If Mr Brown were to lose it, the consequences would make the recent disastrous election results for Labour seem like a pleasant night out on the town. It will be a long, hot dance in Edinburgh and London. Do not count on a referendum being held at the end of it. Steve Richards The Independent
The Mole: will Gordon quit? More

Steve Richards

Sixty-eight and eighty-nine

Was 1968 a significant revolutionary moment, asks Timothy Garton-Ash? Politically, 1989 changed far more: the revolution succeeded. And the rhetoric of 68 was largely irresponsible. It was, to quote George Orwell, a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot. On the other hand, 89 was more of a restoration of the old status-quo, and 68 did catalyse a profound cultural and social change, in eastern as well as western Europe. Sharply contrasting though the two movements were, it is the combined effect of the utopian 68 and the anti-utopian 89 which has produced, across most of Europe and much of the world, a socially and culturally liberal, politically social democratic, globalised version of reformed capitalism. Yet in this anniversary year of 68, we are seeing trouble in the engine-room of that reformed capitalism. What if the trouble gets worse next year, just in time for the anniversary of 89? Now, that could be a revolution. Timothy Garton-Ash The Guardian
Opinion: Can't get no satisfaction More

Filed under: Europe, Timothy Garton-Ash

 

Women are less ambitious

Women are putting motherhood before pushing at the glass ceiling, says Camilla Cavendish. We mothers hold a steady course, fearing that any deviation will send our households veering out of control. While most of the men we know have their feet clamped hard on the career accelerator, their eyes in almost permanent rotation between the conquests ahead and the rear-view mirror. Maybe gender difference is biological. Some of the men who have driven the world forward have been loners almost incapable of communicating - not attributes to which most women aspire. What does that mean for our current notions of equality? If women choose not to be corporate CEOs, does it matter? How can we find ways to better value what they do decide to do?   Camilla Cavendish The Times
Rosie Boycott on why so few women attain positions of power More

Filed under: Women, Camilla Cavendish
Camilla Cavendish
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In Brief

Reefer madness

Considering that the Advisory Council on the Misuse of Drugs recommended keeping the classification at C; and that cannabis use has fallen in the four years since it was downgraded; and also that there is scant indication that reclassification will materially alter how severely cannabis possession is policed, there would appear to be little reason now to reclassify the drug, except as a gesture of political braggadocio.  Leader The Times

Filed under: Drugs

 

Aid not censure

George W Bush's criticism of the Burmese government at this juncture is counter-productive, in that it will feed the paranoia of generals whose only concern is to stay in power. Better by far to feed, clothe and provide shelter and medicine to the victims. That will bring home to the Burmese the benefits of opening their country to the outside world and further expose the obscurantism of their rulers.   Leader Daily Telegraph
Junta compound the horror of the cyclone More

Filed under: Burma

Brown a good man

Brown should fight on for what he believes. No need to worry about being unpopular. He's that already. No cause to fret about being outstripped by the Tories. They won't solve poverty or cut crime. Brown is a good man who has sought to make bad lives better. At worst, that is an honourable epitaph. At best, it just might be a key to political resurrection.  Mary Riddell Daily Telegraph

Filed under: Gordon Brown, Mary Riddell

Waste of shame

The latest figures revealing that Britons discard some £10bn worth of food every year would be an embarrassment at any time. Coming in the midst of global food scarcity, these figures should be a source of a stronger emotion: shame.  Leader The Independent
Against free range More

Filed under: Food

Online Tories

A major task for the Tories is to capitalise on the potential of the internet. Many people want to be associated with Dave and Boris, but that falls short of wanting membership of the Conservative party. The Conservatives should be aiming to run the best websites in Britain for those interested in, for example, the environment or fighting crime.    Tim Montgomerie The Guardian

Filed under: Conservative Party

Sleaze fizzle

The story about the Tory donor who organised sex parties with four prostitutes, one gigolo and a trilingual bisexual just fizzled out. We can't get excited about it. Is it that the Tories are less unpopular, or have sexual attitudes changed? And does a trilingual bisexual have three languages or (more usefully) three tongues?   Matthew Parris The Times

Filed under: Matthew Parris

Suicidal isolation

Even now, there is still the impression that the Burmese government would rather see its own people die than allow in meddling charities and the UN. And in the nastiest, most pragmatic terms, for the sake of its own survival as the world's second or third worst government, it is probably right to be wary of outsiders coming in.
Ron Liddle Spectator
All the latest from Burma More

Filed under: Burma

Blue backing

There is no way around it: the Conservative press is less than happy today because it does not like or trust David Cameron, even after he has delivered them their first piece of good electoral news since 1992. The news pages and the political correspondents may suggest jubilation and optimism, but that is not the view at the hearts of these papers. Brian Cathcart New Statesman
David Cameron needs a fourth way More

Filed under: Media, David Cameron
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